Home Farm Equipment Afternoon Market Recap for June 17, 2021

Afternoon Market Recap for June 17, 2021


Wheat costs additionally incur main losses in Thursday’s session

Grain costs acquired caught in a broad selloff Thursday that additionally despatched shares, crude oil, metals, livestock and different commodities sharply decrease right now amid considerations over rising inflation and the potential for rate of interest hikes after the Federal Reserve concluded its newest spherical of conferences earlier right now. Improved forecasts within the Midwest and Plains generated further headwinds right now. Corn costs closed the session restrict down, with soybean costs tumbling round 8% decrease right now. Some wheat contracts had been comparatively spared, however all contracts had been down double digits right now.

Rain will likely be variable over the following three days throughout the central U.S. Some areas will obtain no measurable moisture between right now and Sunday, whereas elements of the jap Corn Belt might collect one other 1” to 1.5” throughout this time, per the most recent 72-hour cumulative precipitation map from NOAA. Seasonally cool, moist climate is probably going for a lot of the central U.S. between June 24 and June 30, in keeping with NOAA’s newest 8-to-14-day outlook.

On Wall St., the Dow dropped 200 factors to 33,833 on the heels of the most recent Federal Reserve coverage updates, which embrace the opportunity of two rate of interest hikes as quickly as 2023. Vitality futures additionally tilted decrease, with crude oil down 1% in afternoon to remain simply above $71 per barrel. Gasoline additionally dropped about 1%, with diesel down greater than 1.75%. The U.S. Greenback firmed reasonably.

On Wednesday, commodity funds had been internet consumers of soymeal (+4,500) and CBOT wheat (+1,000) contracts however had been internet sellers of corn (-2,500), soyoil (-15,000) and soybeans (-11,0000).

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Corn costs closed Thursday’s session restrict down, pressured by a broad commodity selloff and the prospect for improved climate forecasts within the Midwest and Plains later this month. July and September futures every dropped 40 cents to shut at $6.33 and $5.4850, respectively.

Corn foundation bids confirmed loads of variability throughout the central U.S. Thursday, transferring as a lot as 15 cents increased at an Indiana ethanol plant whereas sliding as a lot as 5 cents decrease at an Illinois river terminal right now.

Outdated crop corn gross sales tumbled 95% beneath the prior four-week common, to lower than 709,000 bushels. New crop gross sales fared higher however had been nonetheless disappointing total, with 10.9 million bushels. That was towards the decrease finish of commerce estimates, which got here in as excessive as 35.4 million bushels. Cumulative gross sales for the 2020/21 advertising and marketing 12 months nonetheless far exceed final 12 months’s tempo, with 2.148 billion bushels.

Corn export shipments had been rather more sturdy, with 65.4 million bushels, however that was nonetheless 16% beneath the prior four-week common. China (24.2 million) and Japan (21.7 million) had been the highest two locations.

Feedback From The Field” respondents this previous week confirmed blended outcomes when it got here to corn circumstances. Some are nonetheless reporting good or wonderful crop high quality, whereas others are seeing more and more burdened crops with sizzling, dry forecasts promising extra hassle forward. Click here to take our ongoing farmer survey on crop progress, which populates these weekly tales. This Google Map, up to date every day, reveals all previous responses for our readers.

Have you ever puzzled these days about how greatest to commerce amid a possible drought? Naomi Blohm, senior market adviser with Stewart Peterson, took a better have a look at how the 2012 drought unfolded for some further historic context. She additionally investigated how traditionally tight shares are factoring into the combination proper now. Click here to study extra in Blohm’s newest Ag Advertising IQ weblog.

In Ukraine, analyst APK-Inform has barely raised its estimates for the nation’s 2021 corn manufacturing, to 1.424 billion bushels.

Preliminary quantity estimates had been for 487,549 contracts, trending reasonably increased than Wednesday’s last depend of 391,031.

Soybean costs caught the worst losses of any grains right now, tumbling 8% decrease after costs dropped steeply all through the session on the heels of a broad commodity selloff, which triggered plentiful technical promoting. Worries over a record-breaking Brazilian harvest and higher climate circumstances forward for the U.S. utilized further headwinds right now. July futures dropped 123 cents to $13.2550, whereas August futures misplaced 111 cents to $12.91.

Soybean foundation bids eroded 15 cents decrease at an Indiana processor Thursday whereas firming 3 cents increased at an Illinois river terminal. Different places throughout the Midwest held regular right now.

This morning, non-public exporters reported to USDA the sale of 135,000 metric tons of soymeal for supply to the Philippines in the course of the 2020/21 advertising and marketing 12 months, which started October 1.

Internet gross sales for previous crop soybeans had been tepid, at 2.4 million bushels, and new crop gross sales solely chipped in one other 240,000 bushels, for a complete of two.8 million bushels. That was on the low finish of commerce guesses, which ranged between zero and 18.4 million bushels. Cumulative totals for the present advertising and marketing 12 months are nonetheless almost 800 million bushels forward of the prior 12 months’s tempo, with 2.127 billion bushels.

Soybean export shipments tumbled 48% beneath the prior four-year common to a marketing-year low of 5.4 million bushels. Japan was the No. 1 vacation spot, with 1.5 million bushels.

Preliminary quantity estimates had been for 353,964 contracts, almost doubling Wednesday’s last depend of 187,010.

Wheat costs adopted corn, soybeans and a broad vary of outdoor commodities decrease right now. Worries in regards to the competitiveness of U.S. grain overseas utilized further headwinds. September Chicago SRW futures crumbled 22.25 cents to $6.4350, September Kansas Metropolis HRW futures misplaced 24.75 cents to $5.9450, and September MGEX spring wheat futures dropped 11.25 cents to $7.5525.

Wheat export gross sales reached 10.5 million bushels within the crop’s first full week of the 2021/22 advertising and marketing 12 months. That was towards the decrease finish of commerce estimates, which ranged between 7.3 million and 18.4 million bushels. Cumulative totals within the new advertising and marketing 12 months have began off a bit slowly, with 16.0 million bushels.

Wheat export shipments had been slightly below 11.0 million bushels. Nigeria was the No. 1 vacation spot, with 2.8 million bushels.

Ukrainian analyst APK-Inform lowered its forecast for the nation’s 2021 wheat manufacturing by 1.3% from prior estimates, transferring it to 1.002 billion bushels. The group’s export outlook remained regular, at 725.7 million bushels.

Turkey issued a global tender prime buy as a lot as 14.5 million bushels of pink milling wheat from elective origins with a deadline of June 30. The grain is for cargo in July and August.

Japan bought 7.6 million bushels of food-quality wheat from the US, Canada and Australia in a daily tender that closed earlier right now. Of the entire, 53% was sourced from the U.S. The grain is for cargo in August.

Preliminary quantity estimates had been for 164,290 CBOT contracts, monitoring reasonably above Wednesday’s last depend of 137,421.

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