Home Crop Monitoring StatsCan pulls canola production back further based on satellite data

StatsCan pulls canola production back further based on satellite data

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Only a few weeks in the past, Statistics Canada pegged the 2021 canola crop at over 14 million tonnes. The newest report out of the division has decreased that estimate further, to 12.8 million tonnes.

“Canola production is expected to fall 34.4 per cent to 12.8 million tonnes in 2021, as drought conditions on the Prairies drove yields to their lowest level in a decade (-39.5per cent to 25.3 bushels per acre), offsetting higher harvested area (+8.1 per cent to 22.2 million acres). If this were to happen, this would be the lowest canola production since 2010,” the StatsCan report printed September 14th reads.

Canola production in Saskatchewan is predicted to lower 47.2 per cent to 5.8 million tonnes; Alberta is predicted to lower 17.1 per cent to 4.3 million tonnes; and in Manitoba, yield is predicted to fall 21.3 per cent to a median 32.6 bushels per acre.

This newest report is based on StatsCan’s Crop Situation Evaluation Program (CCAP) which signifies that general plant well being in Western Canada was decrease to a lot decrease than regular, having decreased significantly all through August. This means the chance of decrease than regular yields, StatsCan says.

Departure from common precipitation (in millimetres) from April 1 to August 31, 2021 by province. (StatsCan, equipped)

As of the tip of August, provincial authorities departments reported harvest properly forward of common. Alberta reported that over one-quarter (26 per cent) of the most important crops had been harvested, properly over double final yr’s harvest season (10 per cent) and the 2016-to-2020 five-year common (11 per cent); Saskatchewan was at 40 per cent harvested, up from 28 per cent final yr and the five-year common (22 per cent); and Manitoba reported harvest progress at 35 per cent, up from 13 per cent final yr and the five-year common of 28 per cent.

 

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